The Grand River doesn’t run the same way every month. Sometimes it rushes. Sometimes it slows. In May, it’s doing something more interesting — it’s splitting.
The single-family market and the condo/townhouse market are telling two very different stories right now. And if you’re thinking about buying or selling in Brantford, you need to know which channel you’re swimming in.
Here’s what the May 2026 numbers are showing us.
Single-family homes: fewer listings, prices holding
New listings dropped 19.8% compared to May 2025 — from 258 down to 207. That’s a significant pullback. Sellers are sitting tight, and that’s keeping the market from flooding with inventory.
Sales held relatively steady at 102 homes (down just 2.9% year over year). Demand isn’t gone — it’s just not racing. The median sale price stayed exactly flat at $675,000, while the average actually climbed 5.9% to $707,915. That tells us higher-end homes moved well in May.
Homes are spending more time on market — 32 days on average, up from 25 last May. Buyers have more time to think. But they’re still paying close to asking: sellers received 97.9% of list price on average.
Median price: $675,000 — flat vs. May 2025
Average price: $707,915 — ↑ 5.9% vs. May 2025
Days on market: 32 days — ↑ from 25 last May
List price received: 97.9% — still close to asking
The current is steady. Not fast, not stalled — just moving with purpose.
Condos and townhouses: a different river entirely
This is where the story gets more complicated. The condo and townhouse segment is softening — and it’s not a blip.
The median sale price dropped 8.5% year over year, landing at $502,500. The average fell 5.8% to $488,524. Homes are sitting on market for 36 days on average, up from 29 last year.
On the surface, monthly sales look stable — 34 closings in May, same as last year. But zoom out and the picture shifts. Year-to-date condo/townhouse sales are down 28.8% compared to the same period in 2025. That’s 99 sales through five months this year, versus 139 last year. This segment has slowed considerably.
Months supply of inventory climbed to 6.3 — up 21.2% from last May’s 5.2. More supply, softer prices, longer days on market. Buyers in this segment have real negotiating room right now.
Median price: $502,500 — ↓ 8.5% vs. May 2025
YTD sales: ↓ 28.8% vs. same period 2025
Months supply: 6.3 months — ↑ 21.2% vs. May 2025
Days on market: 36 days — ↑ from 29 last May
This channel is slower. There’s more room to negotiate — and if you’ve been priced out of a condo before, that’s worth paying attention to.
The bigger picture: rates on hold, uncertainty in the air
The Bank of Canada held its overnight rate at 2.25% again in June — the fifth consecutive hold. That’s not a surprise, but it’s not a green light either. The BoC is watching inflation driven by elevated global energy prices, and economists are split on whether the next move will be a cut or a hold into 2027.
What that means practically: borrowing costs aren’t changing much. If you’re waiting for a rate cut to unlock your buying power, you might be waiting a while. The market isn’t going to hold its breath for you.
This is exactly why I believe in the seven-year rule. If you’re buying a home you plan to stay in for seven years or more, today’s rate environment matters far less than you think. You’ll likely refinance at least once. What matters most is getting in when the price is right for you — not waiting for a perfect moment that may never come.
What this means if you’re making a move
If you’re a buyer looking at single-family homes: inventory is actually tighter than last year — fewer listings came to market in May. Don’t mistake a slower pace for a buyer’s market in this segment. Good homes are still selling close to list. Come prepared.
If you’re a buyer considering condos or townhouses: this is genuinely the most opportunity this segment has offered in a while. Prices are softer, supply is up, and sellers are negotiating. If condo living works for your life, May’s data says now is worth a serious look.
If you’re a seller: price matters more than ever. The days of any listing flying off the shelf are behind us for now. Homes that are priced right and show well are still moving. The ones that aren’t are sitting — and 32-36 days on market is long enough to watch momentum fade.
The river is moving. It’s just not all moving in the same direction right now.
Not sure which channel you’re in? That’s what I’m here for. Let’s Connect — and let’s figure out your next move together.




